Flames vs Kraken Predictions, Picks & Betting Tips October 2026
Expert NHL Betting Tips for Canadians
Our Flames vs Kraken predictions cover the Calgary Flames’ 2026-27 season opener. Calgary hosts the Seattle Kraken on Thursday, October 1, at 7:00 p.m. MT. It is also the start of the Saddledome’s farewell season, so expect a loud building. However, the betting market sees this as close to a coin flip. As a result, our value sits in the totals market rather than on a side.
Quick Best Bet
Under 5.5 goals. Both teams finished near the bottom of the league in scoring last season. Furthermore, very few of their games went over this total. Take the Under at 1.80 or better.
Flames vs Kraken Match Overview
| Detail | Info |
|---|---|
| Date | Thursday, October 1, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 7:00 p.m. |
| Venue | Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary |
| Records | Flames 0-0-0, Kraken 0-0-0 |
| Moneyline | Flames slight favourites |
| Total | 5.5 goals |
This is a Pacific Division game, and division points matter more this year. The NHL has moved to an 84-game schedule, so Calgary plays each divisional rival four times.
Form & Stats
Calgary Flames
Calgary finished 34-39-9 last season and placed seventh in the Pacific. As a result, the Flames missed the playoffs for a fourth straight year.
- Offence: About 2.5 goals per game, the lowest total in the NHL.
- Shooting: 9.0% as a team, also last in the league.
- Top scorers: Matthew Coronato (45 points) and Mikael Backlund (43 points).
- Goalie: Dustin Wolf started 57 games and went 23-29-3.
- Key trend: When Calgary scored only once, it went 1-18-2.
- Out: Jonathan Huberdeau (hip), Yan Kuznetsov and Joel Hanley (both out for the season).
Blake Coleman is also gone after his summer trade to Minnesota. That removes more secondary scoring from an already thin attack.
Seattle Kraken
Seattle was not much better. The Kraken scored 2.7 goals per game, which ranked 28th, and allowed 3.1, which ranked 23rd.
- Top scorers: Jordan Eberle (55 points) and Matty Beniers (50 points).
- Goalie: Joey Daccord went 20-20-6 with a .896 save percentage.
- As underdogs: Won 9 of 26 games (34.6%).
- Out: Jared McCann (out for the season), Jake O’Brien and Matthew Samoskevich.
Losing McCann is a real blow. Consequently, Seattle’s scoring depth looks weaker than last year’s numbers suggest.
Totals Trends
| Trend (2025-26) | Flames | Kraken |
|---|---|---|
| Goals per game | ~2.5 | 2.7 |
| Games over 5.5 goals | 21 of 82 | 13 of 82 |
| Goals allowed per game | ~3.1 | 3.1 |
Their combined scoring average was about 5.3 goals. That sits just under the posted total of 5.5.
Flames vs Kraken Odds Comparison
Odds below reflect the North American market consensus as of 30 September 2026. Prices move, so always check your sportsbook before betting.
| Market | Flames | Kraken |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline (American) | -115 to -116 | -105 to -106 |
| Moneyline (decimal) | 1.86 to 1.87 | 1.94 to 1.95 |
| Total | 5.5 goals | 5.5 goals |
Why line shopping matters: Backing the Kraken at 1.95 instead of 1.87 is worth about 4% more on every winning bet. Over a full NHL season, that gap adds up.
Where to Bet in Canada (Interac-Friendly)
- TonyBet: Registered with the AGCO in Ontario and the AGLC in Alberta, with Interac deposits. It’s a strong option for Albertans now that the regulated Alberta market is live.
- More options: Compare Interac-friendly books on our Canadian sportsbooks page.
Our Flames vs Kraken Predictions & Analysis
Pick 1: Under 5.5 Goals (Best Bet)
This is the strongest angle in the game. Only 21 Calgary games and just 13 Seattle games went over 5.5 goals last season. In addition, both teams have lost scorers since then. Opening-night games also tend to be tight, as lines and systems settle in. Therefore, the Under is our best bet.
TonyBet Under 5.5 Goals : +104
Pick 2: Kraken +1.5 Puck Line
The market prices this game as nearly even. Meanwhile, Calgary rarely wins comfortably because it struggles to score. That makes a Flames win by two or more goals unlikely. However, this line carries heavy juice, so it works better as a parlay leg than as a standalone bet.
Moneyline: Pass
We see no clear edge on either side. On one hand, Calgary has the home crowd and an emotional opener. On the other hand, the Flames were the NHL’s lowest-scoring team. At close to even money, the smart play is to skip the moneyline.
Same Game Parlay Suggestion
Under 5.5 goals + Kraken +1.5 puck line
These two legs support each other. A low-scoring game usually means a close game, which also covers the Kraken +1.5. Keep in mind that the combined price will be modest, and some sportsbooks limit correlated legs. For that reason, check the final price in your bet slip before confirming.
Responsible Gambling
Betting should always be entertainment, never a way to make money. You must be 19+ to bet in most provinces (18+ in Alberta, Manitoba and Quebec). Set a budget before the game and stick to it.
If gambling stops being fun, free and confidential help is available:
- Alberta: Addiction Helpline, 1-866-332-2322
- Ontario: ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600
For more tools and provincial resources, visit our responsible gambling page.
Disclaimer
Odds are accurate as of 30 September 2026 and may change before puck drop. Our picks are independent predictions, not guarantees, and past results do not predict future outcomes. WagerFlame may earn a commission from some sportsbook links; this never changes our picks. Please gamble responsibly and only where it is legal for you to do so.